The Vermont Housing Chronicles — Vol. 1

Vermont Legislature Announces Bold 47-Year Plan To Study Whether Housing Shortage Is Real

A satirical dispatch anchored by real 2026 market data — because sometimes the numbers are funnier than the jokes.

By ,

Founding Partner & Principal Broker, New England Landmark Realty · · 8 min read

MONTPELIER — In a stirring display of the decisive leadership Vermonters have come to expect and price into their zip codes, the State House on Tuesday unveiled its most aggressive housing initiative yet: the formation of a bipartisan committee tasked with forming a subcommittee that will, by 2031, recommend the creation of a task force to study whether Vermont has a housing problem.

"We hear you, Vermont," said one lawmaker, gesturing broadly at a landscape where a two-bedroom cape now costs more than the entire GDP of a small Balkan nation. "And by 'hear you,' we mean we have received your letters, forwarded them to a working group, and will circle back after leaf-peeping season, town meeting day, mud season, black fly season, and the ceremonial reading of the 1793 land-use covenants."

The Numbers, For Those Who Enjoy Light Horror

Since 2001, Vermont median home prices have climbed 148%. Median household income has climbed 72%. Vermont officials described this 76-point gap as "healthy tension" and "part of what makes Vermont Vermont."

"Look, if young families could afford to live here, who would move to New Hampshire?" asked one Statehouse veteran, staring wistfully out a window at a $600,000 farmhouse with a caving roof and a septic system last inspected during the Ford administration. "New Hampshire needs people too. This is a regional partnership."

Vermont Housing Market At A Glance (Spring/Summer 2026)

Vermont Real Estate Market Data — 2026
Metric Value YoY Change
Statewide median home price $412,200 +2.7%
Active listings +11.7%
Median days on market 91 days Longer
Sale-to-list ratio 96.3% Down from 2021 peaks
Homes selling above asking 13.7% Down from ~20%
Months of housing supply 2.9 Balanced is 4–6
Washington County avg. value $397,533 +1.8%
Waterbury avg. home value $550,330 +1.8%
Estimated statewide housing shortage 24,000 units Unchanged, apparently forever

Sources: Redfin, Zillow, VHFA, National Association of Realtors, Coldwell Banker Hickok & Boardman Market Report, New England Landmark Realty analysis.

A Bold Vision For Housing

The Legislature's new "Vermont Strong, Vermont Home, Vermont Someday" initiative includes:

  • A commemorative plaque honoring the 24,000 housing units that were never built.
  • A statewide listening tour, in which lawmakers travel to towns and listen to residents explain, again, that they cannot afford to live in the towns they are currently standing in.
  • A pilot program to convert three barns into workforce housing, pending 14 months of Act 250 review, a hearing on viewshed impact, and a strongly worded letter from a neighbor who "isn't opposed to housing, just this housing, here, now, or ever."
  • A ribbon-cutting for a single duplex in Hardwick, attended by seven state officials, four reporters, and the duplex's future occupants — a hedge fund analyst from Greenwich and his golden retriever, Barleywine.

The Youth Exodus Is Actually A Feature

Officials pushed back on the notion that Vermont's median age — currently hovering somewhere between "AARP eligible" and "carbon-dated" — is a crisis.

"Our young people aren't leaving. They're deploying," clarified one senator. "Some to Manchester. Some to Portsmouth. Some to a Reddit thread called r/ExVermonters. It's a diaspora. Like the Irish, but with better cheese."

Asked whether the state might, perhaps, consider building more houses, the senator paused thoughtfully. "We've considered it," he said. "In fact, we're deep in the consideration phase. Consideration is a critical stage. You can't just skip to construction. That's how Texas ended up with Texas."

Homeowners: "Everything Is Fine"

Meanwhile, existing Vermont homeowners — 87% of whom are now classified as "equity rich," "aggressively equity rich," or "sitting on a gold mine but haven't noticed because they're splitting firewood" — reported that the market feels balanced, fair, and definitely not a Ponzi scheme dressed in flannel.

"I bought this place in 1994 for $89,000. I've done nothing to it. And yet somehow, through the magic of tight supply and out-of-staters bidding against each other on Zillow at 11 p.m., I'm a millionaire. This is what our ancestors fought for."

— Composite Waterbury Resident, Age 68, Sipping A Maple Latte On A $612,000 Porch

The Path Forward

The Legislature closed the press conference by reiterating its unwavering commitment to housing, community, and the Vermont way of life — defined, per statute, as "a life you used to be able to afford."

The task force will release its preliminary findings in Q3 2029, at which point Vermont home prices are projected to have risen an additional 23%, median income will be up 4.2%, and New Hampshire will formally annex Brattleboro.


The Actual Point (Because Satire Deserves A Landing)

Every joke above is anchored to a real number. Vermont has built roughly one house for every three it needs. Homeowners have gotten rich by accident. Young families have gotten priced out by design — or, more accurately, by the absence of design. And the legislative response has moved with the urgency of a sap run in February.

If you're buying in Central Vermont right now, this is the most negotiable market in five years. If you're selling, aspirational pricing has quietly stopped working. If you're just watching from the porch: the numbers are worth paying attention to, because they're going to shape this state for the next generation whether the Statehouse gets around to noticing or not.

That's what The Vermont Housing Chronicles is for. Real data. Unflinching commentary. And the occasional maple-flavored jab at the people who could fix this and don't.

See you in Vol. 2.